TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe13c…1159

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15257.2%87 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$483.19
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$209.96
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+131%+$196.52
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.87
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$50.61
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$9.82
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$21.94
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$26.67
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9558.9%56 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.74
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$26.19
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$17.88
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.21
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29%+$14.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$37.75
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.03
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$74.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.43
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$83.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.3%+$35.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$103.72
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$113.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$54.84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.21
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$44.69
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+54.6%+$191.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-73.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$52.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.