Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf360cccf198bb6c1032098ea9d5a632a2039244a50e0fb72f67148ef8c244d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 1,473$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.63 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 43c | 517.04$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 64c | 444$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 70c | 354.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 290.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 63c | 245.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 7c | 229.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 215.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 61c | 188$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 11c | 183.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 61c | 163.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 32c | 155.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 124.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 63c | 110.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 104.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 100.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 97.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…bc1abacked Yes | 67c | 92.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 58c | 88.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 64c | 77.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 71.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…0575backed Yes | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 67c | 67.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 66.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 41c | 66.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 21c | 64.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 30c | 63.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 60.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 53.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Yes | 22c | 51.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 71c | 49.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…1428backed Yes | 64c | 42.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 41.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 69c | 40.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 50c | 38.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 37.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 31.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 34c | 29.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…66b7backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…c673backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…576fbacked Yes | 72c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 14.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.