TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5370…84ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT6650%33 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38.83
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$145.59
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.2
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Roland Garros WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$41.83
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.79
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$76.22
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.3
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$50.83
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.39
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Brazil vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.76
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.78
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.67
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.5
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.98
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.9
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$22.59
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.35
Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.75
Will Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+680.6%+$161.3
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.4
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$38.64
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$317.8
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$461.55
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$218.3
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$333.73
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+48.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$77.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$127.7
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.8%+$11.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Paderborn leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$259
Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42%+$104.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$11.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.