Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa544c3e2b0e6e658236bb28fa9a0466a5c58c8dadf325c323eb759adba7cebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,388,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,718,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,388,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 67c | 150,564$100,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,591.45 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 97,903$63,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,893.96 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 24c | 83,374$19,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,823.37 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 35c | 83,234$29,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,131.87 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 65c | 66,947$43,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,431.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 75c | 34,153$25,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.11 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 31,682$10,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,754.91 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 35c | 30,743$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,760 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 29,378$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 33c | 26,315$8,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,683.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 24,732$18,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,521.05 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 24,433$8,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…f69abacked No | 29c | 21,742$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 34c | 20,960$7,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,161.62 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 34c | 20,789$7,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,115.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 66c | 15,663$10,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 14,741$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.68 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 13,231$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 21c | 11,955$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 0c | 11,278$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 62c | 10,836$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.64 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 34c | 9,205$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 65c | 8,978$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 68c | 8,838$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 33c | 8,465$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.81 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 34c | 7,683$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 33c | 7,491$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 67c | 6,417$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 5,613$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed No | 30c | 4,895$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 32c | 4,889$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 4,614$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.59 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 4,561$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 34c | 4,381$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 29c | 3,988$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.74 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 64c | 3,703$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 33c | 3,359$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.57 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed No | 34c | 3,316$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 34c | 3,279$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 68c | 3,045$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 34c | 3,015$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 33c | 3,003$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.93 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 67c | 2,941$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 34c | 2,903$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.03 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 34c | 2,881$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.61 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 63c | 2,685$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.6 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 33c | 2,360$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.59 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 65c | 2,310$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.5 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 65c | 2,259$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 15c | 2,174$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 34c | 2,147$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.57 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 66c | 2,098$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.48 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…22abbacked Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,975$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 34c | 1,953$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,926$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 9c | 1,899$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 63c | 1,885$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 1,860$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.66 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 30c | 1,847$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 34c | 1,789$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 33c | 1,725$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…ff20backed Yes | 67c | 1,683$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 34c | 1,660$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6405backed No | 36c | 1,651$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 34c | 1,536$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.62 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 63c | 1,473$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.04 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Yes | 64c | 1,415$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 77c | 1,391$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.49 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 30c | 1,277$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 1,236$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked No | 32c | 1,211$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…7a3bbacked No | 34c | 1,130$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 27c | 1,113$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 69c | 1,103$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 67c | 1,097$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 63c | 1,091$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.8 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,081$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 66c | 999.51$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 34c | 960.4$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 33c | 959.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 33c | 959.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked No | 23c | 953.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 67c | 944.01$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 928.4$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 34c | 864.36$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.