TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11e3…22ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$118.04
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$697
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.65
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$245.7
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.04
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$173.83
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$794
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$352.05
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$450
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$585
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.26
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.04
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.2
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.2
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$196
Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.2
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$196.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$294.06
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$193.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.