Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb233eadc3dc5c3f2815c4ed8aec515e22f3c431572da018c33f79affa0372083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 26,220$16,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,540.87 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…7d90backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 35c | 8,434$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.87 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 8,342$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.71 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 5,735$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.97 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 64c | 5,683$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.54 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 39c | 5,641$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.09 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 37c | 5,066$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.25 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked No | 36c | 4,550$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.78 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 2,801$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.19 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,320$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +506.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 2,152$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 34c | 1,837$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.12 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 37c | 1,760$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.03 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 1,407$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,260$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.8 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 57c | 849.97$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.48 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 841.79$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.22 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 37c | 839.56$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.82 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…bec9backed Yes | 63c | 835.63$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 37c | 834.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.34 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 13c | 720.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 70c | 701.1$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.77 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Yes | 13c | 700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 632.67$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 38c | 500$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 36c | 499.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 38c | 455$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 45c | 446.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed No | 45c | 446.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 46c | 440.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 47c | 422.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed No | 47c | 422.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 37c | 408.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 37c | 401.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 36c | 354$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.53 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 48c | 319.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77d…8e5dbacked Yes | 69c | 294.06$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 291.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 286.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 32c | 286$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…b729backed Yes | 61c | 285.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 49c | 277$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 32c | 237$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 66c | 220.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 65c | 218.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 216$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 201$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 200.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 200.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 45c | 200.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 195$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 35c | 190$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…6924backed Yes | 69c | 189$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…35c7backed Yes | 64c | 186.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 61c | 174.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 34c | 164.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 38c | 153$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…5c92backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 43c | 122.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 101.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 90.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 40c | 83.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 39c | 77.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…84a1backed Yes | 66c | 75.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 39c | 75.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 39c | 74.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…1c81backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 68c | 73.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…7dbebacked Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 65c | 61.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…7145backed Yes | 69c | 60.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes | 72c | 55.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 37c | 50.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…60f2backed Yes | 61c | 49.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?this page
- Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?Yes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.