TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6ac…6b83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
599
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT28643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 286 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.28
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$295.41
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.62
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$187.67
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,274.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$263.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$113.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.07
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.75
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.64
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$203.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.82
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 286 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19748.7%96 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+524.8%+$393.59
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$138.91
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.74
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,769.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$378.12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.5
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$216.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.75
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$320.48
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$264.34
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$126.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.71
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+219.9%+$426.78
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.03
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$136.49
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$117.02
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$98.56
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$160.63
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.24
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.31
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92%+$151.85
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.33
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$17.7
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.72
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$384.28
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$211.75
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.42
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$171.14
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+217.7%+$245.96
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+224.4%+$157.05
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$109.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.88
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$90.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$289.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$210.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$173.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$65.28
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.66
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$102.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$47.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$268.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$150.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.04
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$155.33
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.1
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38.19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+69.7%+$174.29
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,839.24
Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$729.8
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$248.86
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$487.22
Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69.49
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$101.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$59.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$730.67
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$443.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.71
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,407.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$70.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+62%+$31.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58%+$232.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$499.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$969.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.