TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof Paper Rex, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,815 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed G2 Esports70c15,141$10,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.3434356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports63c4,060$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.3765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Paper Rex35c3,061$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.512951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Paper Rex33c2,769$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92736138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked G2 Esports68c2,608$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.713847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 Esports55c2,582$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.0512951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex36c2,554$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.581,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Paper Rex55c2,311$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.1326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports69c2,006$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.1793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Paper Rex43c2,000$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Paper Rex34c1,970$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.31450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Paper Rex35c1,828$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.819157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex24c1,821$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3219248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked G2 Esports68c1,765$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports64c1,734$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex42c1,733$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.268751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Paper Rex34c1,717$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.245939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex30c1,562$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8281134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G2 Esports64c1,457$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7633759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2b1…614fbacked Paper Rex44c1,136$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed G2 Esports55c1,009$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.59785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Paper Rex1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Paper Rex53c952.33$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Paper Rex40c887.14$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 Esports70c881.9$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Paper Rex31c878.92$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.426336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Paper Rex41c787.09$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.242846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked G2 Esports55c690.85$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0225336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed G2 Esports74c635$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.14755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4361…9408backed Paper Rex36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paper Rex28c507.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7231227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcde5…32b5backed Paper Rex41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex18c470.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.291,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac2…c7e0backed Paper Rex32c467.77$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex46c459.19$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1378162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked Paper Rex37c440.25$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked G2 Esports45c363.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.114535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed G2 Esports59c337.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed G2 Esports38c315.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.791637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 Esports43c314.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5261035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Paper Rex47c279.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.332147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed G2 Esports74c257$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.825156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Paper Rex5c250.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Paper Rex36c250$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f05…fa4bbacked Paper Rex37c241.26$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Paper Rex21c225.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed G2 Esports45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12112745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex42c216$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.658837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed G2 Esports65c208.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.012857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex43c204$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.299042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c8…7013backed Paper Rex26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5260%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Paper Rex29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Paper Rex53c195.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed G2 Esports76c190.18$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9921257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Paper Rex27c180.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.937635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed G2 Esports53c177.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex57c175.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked G2 Esports51c163.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.653158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Paper Rex29c158.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5469722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Paper Rex43c155$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.034932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f7b…8404backed Paper Rex34c147.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aeb…01c2backed Paper Rex54c145.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.471060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Paper Rex67c143.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7512656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed Paper Rex18c140.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Paper Rex34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed Paper Rex44c131.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked G2 Esports46c129.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed G2 Esports47c129.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.022142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex27c117.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Paper Rex37c108.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.364963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Paper Rex28c107.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.088634.9%30 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Paper Rex28c107.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0720755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Paper Rex30c106.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Paper Rex43c102.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.225642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe0…2576backed Paper Rex35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Paper Rex30c98.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6925752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd631…e289backed G2 Esports46c97.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed G2 Esports62c96.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.092065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed G2 Esports37c93.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.881241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Paper Rex55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked Paper Rex55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Paper Rex57c88.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.716061.7%37 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paper Rex26c88.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2457517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Paper Rex47c81.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2715931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Paper Rex21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed G2 Esports38c79.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.749540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Paper Rex27c78.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0310959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Paper Rex37c76.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cf…3773backed Paper Rex34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed G2 Esports76c72.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.167565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex31c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3666438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9718…2584backed Paper Rex28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56130%0 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked G2 Esports62c67.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed Paper Rex30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Paper Rex41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.789142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Paper Rex30c58.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…334abacked Paper Rex35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5056…db7dbacked Paper Rex53c56.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a55…ad7bbacked G2 Esports47c55.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.