TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01ef…2387

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$120.13
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$69.46
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$51.03
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$26.09
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$16.05
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$31.43
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$33.39
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$25.98
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Winthrop University (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 1 Relegation Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+165%+$62.14
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.29
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+130.7%+$23.21
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+580%+$82.77
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+109%+$16.35
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.1%+$21.27
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+86.1%+$17.23
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.04
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+174%+$34.8
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+241.5%+$84.53
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+133.3%+$33.33
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+376.2%+$56.43
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.85
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$195.19
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Iowa State Cyclones vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.