TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Celtics, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,389,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,768,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,389,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a55…f9bebacked Celtics42c583,744$245,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245,171.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics41c520,477$213,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,394.3987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Spurs59c492,469$290,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,912.3426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs73c377,029$276,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,175.6166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Spurs58c312,296$182,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129,755.023560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics42c178,572$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Celtics41c176,464$72,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,348.824742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics42c121,428$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.7143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics41c106,303$43,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,899.91,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs58c100,000$58,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,00011955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs59c90,000$53,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,90060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Spurs58c83,909$48,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,241.7259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs59c64,584$38,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,479.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics41c63,047$25,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,596.5996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs78c62,529$48,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,788.8210239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Celtics42c47,650$20,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,012.0811443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs59c42,486$25,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,419.331,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs59c35,313$20,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,506.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Spurs59c33,783$19,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,791.5910046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Spurs78c32,729$25,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,141.9119388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Spurs58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Spurs57c30,000$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.9361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Spurs57c28,603$16,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,299.252060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics36c25,764$9,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,314.6420744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics31c25,741$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.821,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs66c25,714$16,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,776.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics41c25,550$10,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,475.631,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Celtics0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Celtics41c25,000$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,249.8611252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs66c22,727$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,727.2734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Celtics5c20,487$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.899629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics41c19,512$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics1c18,424$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.575213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs58c17,212$10,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,203.6337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Spurs60c17,148$10,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,889.535248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs57c15,432$8,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,638.0720454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics47c15,292$7,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,216.12,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics29c15,244$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Celtics43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.5115349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs75c15,000$11,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs71c14,822$10,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics17c13,955$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.211,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spurs59c13,559$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,559.3210158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Spurs60c13,333$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.332937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs58c12,877$7,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs58c12,350$7,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Spurs55c12,301$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,551.1517247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Spurs59c12,224$7,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.8421549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics18c12,089$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.5183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Celtics42c11,908$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Spurs59c11,841$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.512844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed Celtics2c11,634$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics36c11,561$4,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,161.9219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Celtics24c11,032$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.6848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs61c10,899$6,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.5542348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Spurs66c10,899$7,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.2213442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Spurs58c10,742$6,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,508.965567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics41c10,000$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.6787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Spurs53c9,400$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.967758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs75c9,295$6,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.481,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics42c8,694$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.261,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Spurs58c8,686$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.9272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics24c8,658$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.032,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Celtics0c8,465$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.93422.4%1 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick12cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Spurs58c8,432$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.928345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Spurs68c8,092$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.953669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Celtics1c8,070$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.213179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Celtics35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.9832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Celtics41c7,413$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.612532%8 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Celtics42c7,385$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.7534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Celtics41c7,320$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.224549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spurs69c7,175$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.0926353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Celtics42c7,136$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.384445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Spurs59c7,100$4,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.643053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Celtics24c7,082$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.998440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Celtics29c6,844$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics41c6,806$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.2785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Spurs60c6,668$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Celtics40c6,550$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.7951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics41c6,520$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.4165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics47c6,416$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.932,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed Spurs58c6,293$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.948055%44 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics15c6,210$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa3…a2c4backed Spurs57c6,141$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.994156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Celtics35c6,040$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Celtics43c6,001$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.548648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Celtics7c5,979$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.93520%7 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics41c5,972$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.6443348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Celtics1c5,970$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Celtics0c5,882$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.077211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics21c5,844$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.871,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics37c5,263$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.4158740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Spurs75c5,110$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.516159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Spurs60c5,085$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.5913563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Celtics41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…67c6backed Celtics20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Celtics24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.