TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Spurs, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ed3…983fbacked Celtics49c512.02$251 inWon+$261.131952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Celtics57c451.61$257 inWon+$194.1917428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spurs43c300$129 inLost-$12926353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cec8backed Spurs51c263.75$135 inLost-$134.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf6…4eaabacked Spurs51c247.54$126 inLost-$126.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Spurs52c192.32$100 inLost-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Celtics53c192$101 inWon+$90.7217554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Spurs47c191.56$91 inLost-$90.9936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics48c170.76$82 inWon+$88.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs48c168$80 inLost-$79.9252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs43c163.61$71 inLost-$71.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Celtics52c143.56$75 inWon+$68.9152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Spurs48c72$35 inLost-$34.5618261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Celtics52c72$37 inWon+$34.5610945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Spurs50c66.92$33 inLost-$33.4620741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Celtics50c43.16$22 inWon+$21.5835843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Spurs58c39.54$23 inLost-$22.9330845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Celtics42c39.54$17 inWon+$22.9314636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Celtics51c36$18 inWon+$17.7629645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics53c24$13 inWon+$11.283,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.