NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff2c44898ba85e813073364d8d135283b5081ca9d807c2fa0320f3b00944c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 12,726$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 10,177$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.22 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 9,541$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.89 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 8,860$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.63 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 7,133$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,843$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 53c | 6,841$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.63 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 5,773$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 3,547$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.35 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…86b0backed Under | 49c | 2,932$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…9e75backed Under | 49c | 2,896$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…f759backed Over | 51c | 2,876$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…dcd3backed Over | 51c | 2,824$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…77eebacked Under | 49c | 2,821$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…c441backed Under | 49c | 2,789$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…2698backed Over | 51c | 2,789$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…51b9backed Over | 51c | 2,776$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f329backed Over | 51c | 2,762$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…8ac4backed Under | 49c | 2,750$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…7fa8backed Over | 51c | 2,701$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…af00backed Under | 49c | 2,687$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…cd52backed Over | 51c | 2,657$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…eba7backed Over | 51c | 2,635$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…718cbacked Over | 51c | 2,616$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…a3c2backed Under | 49c | 2,556$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…9dc8backed Under | 49c | 2,545$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…0fafbacked Over | 51c | 2,544$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…aedfbacked Under | 49c | 2,534$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…aad5backed Under | 49c | 2,523$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…d62cbacked Under | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…9fe3backed Under | 49c | 2,501$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0a3abacked Over | 51c | 2,465$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d4…6ab1backed Over | 51c | 2,397$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 2,276$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 2,257$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,088$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.64 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 48c | 1,981$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.25 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 1,888$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 1,693$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 53c | 1,003$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.79 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 51c | 836.17$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.61 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 799.98$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 744$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 49c | 635.1$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.87 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 48c | 521$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 490.48$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 51c | 455.37$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.03 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 40c | 339.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Over | 51c | 314.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 45c | 307.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 58c | 305.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 278.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 50c | 210.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 42c | 198.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 190.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 12c | 180.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7278…c1a0backed Over | 54c | 172.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…9109backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 64c | 158.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…b448backed Over | 64c | 154.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 76c | 133$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 132.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 126.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 118.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 63c | 116.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 104.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Over | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 43c | 95.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 53c | 90.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 50c | 88.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 85.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 52c | 77.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 65.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 40c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. SpursSpurs won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.