NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bfd4302ec3e783ef1039707744f60c98da73ce754066f872b7dc63055bcc23f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,930 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,728$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 53c | 2,057$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 2,043$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.27 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 548.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.65 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 53c | 501.89$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 480.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Under | 56c | 454.65$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 430.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 357.87$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 165.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 64c | 155.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1a5ebacked Over | 52c | 132.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 55c | 126.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 104.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 98.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 95.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…3addbacked Over | 62c | 92.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 55c | 91.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 59c | 90.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…ce4fbacked Over | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 86.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 68.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 46c | 67.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 53c | 66.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 59.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 56c | 57.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 48.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 46.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 41.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 53c | 40.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over | 48c | 38.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 34.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 34.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed Over | 54c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 47c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…a035backed Under | 53c | 24.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…525cbacked Under | 53c | 22.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…45dbbacked Under | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…a207backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. SpursSpurs won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.