TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,386 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Celtics46c5,196$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics50c4,005$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs54c3,756$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Celtics47c3,735$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.4419645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics45c1,721$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics46c1,511$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs50c1,199$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Spurs54c1,092$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4417551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics45c976.6$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Spurs58c969.82$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4736154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Spurs51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39216953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs58c786.08$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5628554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spurs55c545$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5323553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Celtics46c544.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Celtics46c444.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.249558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Spurs56c429.4$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.118261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Spurs52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Spurs54c380.91$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2220741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe170…afacbacked Spurs51c362.9$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs52c334.38$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Celtics46c320.37$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Celtics46c309.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Spurs55c273.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.221,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Spurs55c272.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8911754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ecc…ca79backed Spurs55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics47c233.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.621,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Celtics46c215.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.968445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics32c213.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.652,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Celtics47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Spurs54c199$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.544643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs52c196.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Spurs53c187.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1138152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Spurs54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.84562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3381…becbbacked Celtics48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Spurs51c174.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.813956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs46c174.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics46c170.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Celtics46c155$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics46c153.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.131,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Celtics45c149.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9915752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…a809backed Spurs55c147.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics51c144$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.441,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Spurs51c129.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6229046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics54c129.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.553,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics40c119.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Spurs54c105.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs59c97.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.731,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9954…e3b5backed Spurs54c88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Celtics35c86.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.822,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics47c83.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs55c79.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Spurs51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4319849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Celtics47c70.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4839943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Spurs55c67.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2711060%66 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs78c64.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs50c63.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Spurs53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs49c58.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.991,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Spurs52c57.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4831955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Spurs55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7038…6647backed Spurs54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs45c52.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Celtics46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9622456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Celtics44c47.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1217844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5a…022dbacked Celtics48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spurs47c43.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b7…27fabacked Spurs54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Spurs51c39.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.299844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Spurs53c39.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5130845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Celtics48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs55c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1176552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7a…aff2backed Spurs54c34.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.111973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Celtics52c32.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x220b…b067backed Spurs54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Celtics47c31.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Celtics47c30.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Spurs54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.887950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…67edbacked Spurs54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Celtics47c26.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3529645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics49c23.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.443,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4e…0781backed Spurs60c22.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Celtics47c22.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs50c21.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.812,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Spurs51c21.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4220949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e35…0d7fbacked Spurs54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Spurs54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2254951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed Spurs54c18.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x694b…8a60backed Celtics54c18.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Spurs77c17.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.