TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x313d…6f98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
767
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 300 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Showing 25 of 300 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10568.6%72 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+843.4%+$357.6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$87.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.6
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT6767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.71
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.02
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.53
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.2
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.6
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.4
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.71
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.99
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.56
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-13.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.44
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.11
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.87
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.58
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$68.46
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$140.8
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.02
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+55.2%+$165.6
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.7%+$143.66
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300.15
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.3
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Rams (-4.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.29
Spread: Patriots (-9.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.27
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.48
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.99
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.6
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$67.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$184.3
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)backed Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.8
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+32.6%+$65.32
Spread: Texas State (-13.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$87.6
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.75
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.89
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: North Texas (-3.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+77.9%+$58.45
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.1
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.39
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.19
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.19
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.3
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$26
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.45
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$32.16
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$60.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$75
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.99
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200.1
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.83
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$139.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$77.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.91
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Ethan Quinnbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lugano: August Holmgren vs Mika Brunoldbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Argentina Open: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$153.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.