WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 189.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7173886213644db2fcae8d83a8ce4c1afb5f09ea6f4ff524ec9a59660f0f49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 7c | 7,189$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…cc30backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…1df9backed Over | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,038$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 940$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.8 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 738.45$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 50c | 662.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 558.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 528.92$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 51c | 487.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 55c | 309.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Over | 68c | 296.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…d3eebacked Over | 48c | 262.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…dbe9backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 232$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 231.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 45c | 227.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Under | 55c | 227.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 54c | 199.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under | 11c | 147.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…be19backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 79c | 111.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 52c | 104.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 104.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…56f2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 73c | 74.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 31c | 73.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 37c | 47.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 45c | 46.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 31c | 42.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 30c | 42.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 53c | 25.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 189.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFireIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.