WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb02e2a9a8ab82e547bb0099bdf0bf8ecf62a6847b25ade96ad2f6d64f530bf9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 17,624$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,980.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed PortlandFire | 49c | 16,549$8,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,081.72 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,679.96 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed PortlandFire | 48c | 13,739$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 11,966$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.47 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 8,291$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 7,925$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.15 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed PortlandFire | 49c | 7,019$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 6,899$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.69 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed PortlandFire | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed PortlandFire | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed PortlandFire | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed PortlandFire | 53c | 3,352$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PortlandFire | 1c | 3,170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked PortlandFire | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.38 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 2,680$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.98 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,523$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.59 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,659$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.89 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed PortlandFire | 73c | 1,636$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PortlandFire | 49c | 1,189$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.59 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 47c | 1,006$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.43 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 979.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.02 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 693.77$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.25 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed PortlandFire | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed PortlandFire | 47c | 610.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 597.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Indiana Fever | 22c | 494.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 397.36$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 373.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked PortlandFire | 52c | 285.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 268.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked PortlandFire | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever | 60c | 226.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 208.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed PortlandFire | 48c | 208.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PortlandFire | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c354backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 186.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed PortlandFire | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked PortlandFire | 58c | 173.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 166$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 23c | 159$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed PortlandFire | 68c | 146.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 139.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Indiana Fever | 62c | 134.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 129$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed PortlandFire | 58c | 127.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 106.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed PortlandFire | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 88.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked PortlandFire | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 71.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed PortlandFire | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed PortlandFire | 49c | 60.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed PortlandFire | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 56.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed PortlandFire | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked PortlandFire | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…8fc0backed PortlandFire | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed PortlandFire | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed PortlandFire | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed PortlandFire | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 48c | 41.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 41.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed PortlandFire | 48c | 40.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 40.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed PortlandFire | 48c | 36.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked PortlandFire | 54c | 34.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed PortlandFire | 48c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked PortlandFire | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 31.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd3…8920backed PortlandFire | 47c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed PortlandFire | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed PortlandFire | 48c | 28.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PortlandFire | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecf…8554backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 24.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)this page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFireIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 188.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 189.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.