TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda75…e183

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$201.23
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$355.68
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$140.19
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$139.61
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$145.64
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$164.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$218.97
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$200.72
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$129.23
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$185.27
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$151.67
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$129.23
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$114.55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.15
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+184.2%+$327.91
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$248.89
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$157.85
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$208.96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$251.09
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$290.42
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$185.7
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$185.58
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$228.42
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$178.18
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$217.56
Lexington: Moez Echargui vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Marcelina Podlinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.14
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.7
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$73.5
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$76.7
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick45cpaid+208.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$84.77
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.78
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.6
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-2.5)backed Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+142.1%+$71.03
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.