MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3218a1f803a057240943b3ec0c813540d90898e1cdced417073943b0b7d8469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Cincinnati Reds, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 95,000$58,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,899.97 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 51,637$30,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,963.53 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 45,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 23,168$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,363.98 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 15,000$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,270 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 14,897$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,067.1 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 12,965$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,038.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 12,618$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 10,338$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.56 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 7,573$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 7,233$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.69 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,309$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.8 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 71c | 5,587$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 4,492$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.86 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,625$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,165$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.58 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 3,153$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.31 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 3,000$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.53 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,681$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.47 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…ac3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,258$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 2,123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,029$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.21 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,520$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.35 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 1,500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,493$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.82 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,452$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 1,389$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.41 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,248$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.03 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.86 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,227$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.43 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,006$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.73 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 999$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.38 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 924.79$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 917.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 909.97$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 892.3$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 879.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 810.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 773.53$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 729.37$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.21 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 643.47$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 579.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 573.68$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 516.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 509.94$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 502.32$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 490$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 474$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 436.37$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 420$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 419.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 405$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 335.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 323.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 321.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 70c | 311.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 310.24$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 283.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 272$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 78c | 257.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 253$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…10acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 238.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 231.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 223.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 219.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 219$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 207.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 188.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 187.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 183.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 181.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 173.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 171.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 165.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.