TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x755a…9748

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
425
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 31.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13647.1%64 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lerryan Douglas win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$54.58
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanelle Dyer win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$59.28
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.86
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$59.53
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$52.86
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Magomed Tuchalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.86
Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+241%+$240.97
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$29.72
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+39%+$39.03
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST6251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.82
Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdownbacked Kenneth Walker III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First Touchdownbacked Jaxon Smith-Njigba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.82
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.19
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+67.2%+$134.33
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.2%+$28.85
Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.18
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.4%+$122.36
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+97.8%+$21.85
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$176
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.36
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$47.81
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+325.8%+$325.79
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$105.84
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$123.52
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$535.38
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.19
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$63.69
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$138.28
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+341.9%+$341.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$266.57
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$18.42
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.86
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.75
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-6.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-1.5)backed Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-1.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
South Florida Bulls vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+83.3%+$322.25
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$49
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$45.82
Spread: Akron Zips (-8.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+107.3%+$53.63
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.93
Spread: USC Trojans (-6.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$28.27
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.55
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-13.5)backed William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UAB Blazers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$245.24
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$93.41
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+221.9%+$225.75
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$102.18
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Spread: Sabres (-2.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.7
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.1
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+227.2%+$328.88
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.29
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.79
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$87.36
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42.72
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Spread: Utah (-13.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$101.54
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Army (-8.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$25
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Virginia (-4.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$35.18
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Ole Miss (-12.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: James Madison (-7.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Missouri State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Rutgers vs. Washingtonbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Rutgers vs. Washington: O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-70.9%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$58.78
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.51
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.65
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$14.29
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will October 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$54.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.