TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$734,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Yes0c119,379$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.928164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes0c67,460$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.71723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c59,948$6,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c44,836$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7414926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6799…6410backed Yes0c35,427$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7180%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes1c23,590$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200340%0 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes6c21,577$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.196639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes6c20,729$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.7318435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c17,949$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.86650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes9c14,975$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.4664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes0c14,463$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b0…5aaabacked Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes3c10,510$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.95674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes0c10,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes0c9,997$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.49812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes4c9,446$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1321227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes3c8,230$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.252924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes7c6,652$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6411837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes4c6,019$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes3c5,182$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.521020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes8c5,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.263638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e0…9466backed Yes3c4,044$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes2c4,008$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes9c3,903$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc144…abc7backed Yes24c3,848$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes6c3,832$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.222142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes3c3,500$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbd…d700backed Yes9c3,387$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.73540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Yes6c2,603$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Yes11c2,590$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.96045%27 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e12…451ebacked Yes9c2,190$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes6c2,097$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.648622.1%19 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes1c1,910$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…ccdabacked Yes12c1,900$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a4…71bcbacked Yes5c1,894$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb245…5ed6backed Yes2c1,659$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes8c1,650$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.931520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes6c1,409$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9624352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes5c1,289$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.551444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5d1…b446backed Yes9c1,211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes9c1,185$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9210434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c1,138$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb4…346bbacked Yes9c1,130$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd4…d343backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes7c1,100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes4c1,082$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448828.4%25 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4482…5d4bbacked Yes2c1,038$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+252.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a0…bbcfbacked Yes10c956.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451e…d518backed Yes11c952.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ec…b544backed Yes9c922.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43df…fdb0backed Yes16c917.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfa…4386backed Yes8c915.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Yes5c868.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Yes11c826.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Yes5c820.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Yes6c807.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6428436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ada…81b9backed Yes8c745.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18af…f909backed Yes9c735.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da9…3144backed Yes11c702.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes8c699.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes8c646.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.35922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes7c637.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.421225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7a…416fbacked Yes8c618.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738b…765cbacked Yes8c618.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe640…70bebacked Yes9c609.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.65425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e77…4bd7backed Yes15c601.05$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf667…93c6backed Yes10c600$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes5c599.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes9c576.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes3c570$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.957939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…8b91backed Yes14c569.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes9c512.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.826251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa781…8263backed Yes20c500.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b65…b928backed Yes9c431.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf423…798dbacked Yes5c425.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes12c420.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3b…8a31backed Yes12c420.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Yes4c417.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc619…e49abacked Yes7c400.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed Yes9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad4d…a35abacked Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes8c372.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f85…b41fbacked Yes7c369.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253920.5%8 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Yes10c366.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa2…ef19backed Yes15c339.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes10c335.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.422931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…465abacked Yes15c333.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x131a…73f9backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c53…185dbacked Yes16c322.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ddb…de3bbacked Yes16c321.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Yes6c303$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes4c299.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d4f…d122backed Yes7c296.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes19c294.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes11c293.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.285719.3%11 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.