NFL · resolved market
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244d40a6e536402f3bf859d225feb45b58099d31a666b199d66415f33404e98a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $927,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $799,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 15c | 393,766$59,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,134.29 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Yes | 17c | 194,446$32,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,652.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 15c | 49,302$7,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 15c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 19,880$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Yes | 16c | 18,750$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 15c | 15,221$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.14 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 16c | 10,006$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 14c | 9,074$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.29 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Yes | 16c | 8,750$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,395$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,341$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 14c | 2,139$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.48 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd518…a1b2backed Yes | 16c | 2,139$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 14c | 1,986$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.51 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,980$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Yes | 16c | 1,773$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 1,698$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,381$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…824cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 16c | 1,060$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 15c | 999.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 16c | 972.57$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Yes | 16c | 925.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…a6d8backed Yes | 16c | 917.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 16c | 843.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 16c | 837.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Yes | 16c | 818.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…17d7backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…f97ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…1249backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf252…e082backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 14c | 599.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Yes | 15c | 566.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…9f31backed Yes | 4c | 527.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed Yes | 15c | 517.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…1ed7backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 431.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…9062backed Yes | 16c | 412.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 341.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…57cdbacked Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…1f6ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Yes | 14c | 301.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1fbcbacked Yes | 18c | 269.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…4020backed Yes | 16c | 262.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…de5abacked Yes | 16c | 262.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…852dbacked Yes | 20c | 255.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…8798backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…fba4backed Yes | 16c | 219.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 16c | 193.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…41e4backed Yes | 16c | 192.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…4d3abacked Yes | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…991abacked Yes | 16c | 184.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Yes | 16c | 167.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…216dbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…7414backed Yes | 15c | 162.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…eb49backed Yes | 15c | 161$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…b664backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…ffd8backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…4012backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…77a3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +240.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…662abacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…36c3backed Yes | 15c | 127.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…6f66backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0047…1655backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…223fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…eb57backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c6…17fabacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbe…b813backed Yes | 17c | 119.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 16c | 118.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…24c1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…ca0ebacked Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?this page
- Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Andres Borregales win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Byron Murphy win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Hunter Henry win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jake Bobo win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes won
- Will Leonard Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Mack Hollins win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Milton Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.