TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fb5…cabd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130.84
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+182.7%+$228.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.6%+$287.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+79.4%+$221.29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+215.6%+$325.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or higher on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$64.3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or higher on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+90.7%+$90.68
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+154.3%+$154.34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.3%+$99.3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+144.4%+$505.39
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$90.61
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+124.7%+$129.64
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.51
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$166.45
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$95.1
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Ipswich Town FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$218.97
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$108.18
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$128.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168.74
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$170.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$80.38
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.7%+$178.78
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$236.9
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$131.11
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.9%+$66.92
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$141.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$182.71
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$109.89
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$103.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$246.92
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200.1
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$148.19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$137.03
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$82.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$117
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.56
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.95
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.5
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$142.68
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$161.22
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$252.03
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.86
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.68
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.24
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$262.84
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$190.48
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.11
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-16.5)backed San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$125.81
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.89
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$145.77
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.01
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$228.02
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$188.74
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$205.44
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$36.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$145.57
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.68
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$105.44
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+64.7%+$64.68
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70.86
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+73.5%+$73.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$620.75
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.68
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$409.79
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$252.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.02
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.31
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.31
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.13
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.56
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$189
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+205.9%+$205.91
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200.14
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+74%+$73.97
Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$94.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$544.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$110.04
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$49.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$169.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$398.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,426.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,896.63
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$129.65
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.6%+$99.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.27
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.55
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.17
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$128.71
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$93.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.64
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$155.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.7%+$157.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$43.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$264.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.