Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3976e476ec31a320923c7a00ab3fb3b218411784c247fac1813778e60045dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,962$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…28a3backed No | 2c | 3,900$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…238cbacked No | 1c | 2,128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…96e3backed No | 78c | 1,401$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 625.19$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.27 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 61c | 610.77$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.85 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…6876backed No | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 56c | 500.11$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 59c | 430.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Yes | 33c | 332.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 39c | 316.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 40c | 312.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 36c | 282.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 70c | 210$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…1480backed Yes | 27c | 204.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed No | 68c | 184.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 25c | 169.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…dc14backed No | 33c | 148.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +137%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 25c | 141.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…afb2backed Yes | 32c | 134$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…0977backed Yes | 54c | 132.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 65c | 127.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 28c | 122.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 119.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 63c | 118.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed No | 21c | 116.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 113.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 19c | 108.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 28c | 107.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…dd68backed Yes | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 22c | 106.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 24c | 102.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…af5fbacked No | 79c | 100.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 23c | 100.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 101 | 84.2%85 W · 16 L | +26.9wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 74c | 86.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 57c | 79.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 37c | 70.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…8181backed Yes | 31c | 67.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 36c | 67.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…79c3backed Yes | 45c | 67.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 22c | 66.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 50c | 65.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…0f23backed Yes | 31c | 65.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 60.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…029bbacked Yes | 20c | 59.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked No | 63c | 55.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…8da9backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 36c | 53.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…af1cbacked Yes | 34c | 52.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 76 | 9.2%7 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…7c4bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…b47ebacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 48c | 49.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 48.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…bd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 45.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…8761backed Yes | 74c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…423ebacked Yes | 23c | 43.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…e2b9backed Yes | 24c | 41.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…d8a4backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…3af0backed Yes | 48c | 39.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…f213backed No | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…c804backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…a9e6backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…a2fdbacked Yes | 42c | 31.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0172…adf9backed Yes | 40c | 26.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 70c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…2939backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…97a7backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 65c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…5728backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.