TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91f2…e2d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT16548.5%80 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$16.46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+98%+$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$34.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$330
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.9%+$121.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.