Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c627c4217da91e7531435268d4ecef99ac9ced326b986fb4afb9abcd593b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 48c | 1,075$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.58 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 29c | 725.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.23 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 57c | 618.78$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 29c | 579.62$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed Yes | 73c | 515.52$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 44c | 441.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 39c | 427.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 53c | 403.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 393.16$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 52c | 371.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 34c | 370.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 294.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…2838backed Yes | 30c | 280.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 59c | 264.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 41c | 263.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 4c | 261.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 246.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 50c | 237.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 48c | 229.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 48c | 228.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…bae1backed No | 6c | 225.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 42c | 223.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…4143backed No | 16c | 216.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 52c | 210.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 47c | 196.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 55c | 195.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 172.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 37c | 168.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 50c | 167.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 162.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 161.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 64c | 160.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 49c | 159.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 158.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 67c | 146.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…5676backed No | 66c | 146.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 66c | 140.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…cc5bbacked Yes | 70c | 139.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 137.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 47c | 129.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Yes | 56c | 127.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed No | 60c | 121.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 72c | 120.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 34c | 119.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 119.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 34c | 108.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 53c | 107.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…ba48backed Yes | 35c | 106.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 29c | 98.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 21c | 96.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 58c | 96.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 29c | 94.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 33c | 93.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 29c | 90.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 45c | 88.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 39c | 88.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 25c | 88.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 44c | 85.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…fb59backed Yes | 35c | 84.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 46c | 83.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 69c | 81.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 64c | 77.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 35c | 76.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 69c | 74.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…2766backed Yes | 40c | 74.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 56c | 71.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…2030backed Yes | 36c | 69.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 63c | 67.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…6fcfbacked Yes | 42c | 67.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 47c | 66.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 60c | 63.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 31c | 62.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 67c | 62.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…276fbacked Yes | 47c | 59.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 72c | 58.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…83d0backed No | 40c | 58.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 28c | 57.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 27c | 56.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed No | 70c | 56.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 33c | 55.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 54.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 30c | 53.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 53c | 52.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 29c | 51.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…0e6ebacked Yes | 28c | 51.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 50.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…df07backed Yes | 37c | 50.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.