Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95920db75b4a7b5c89cd2afe9c3c7ac206491fea25800c3e4e6d31ea74eda65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 18c | 1,626$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 24c | 1,446$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 3c | 970.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 2c | 950.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 790.72$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 27c | 784.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 563.12$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…97cabacked No | 33c | 562.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 46c | 538.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.63 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 19c | 498.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 452.95$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 437.49$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 45c | 415.83$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 413.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 51c | 409.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 46c | 389.32$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 379.04$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 38c | 372.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 14c | 358.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 38c | 355.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 45c | 327.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…bae1backed Yes | 26c | 321.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 13c | 320.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 27c | 317.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 69c | 316.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 64c | 315.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…6595backed Yes | 49c | 310.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 36c | 299.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 37c | 298.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 62c | 286.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 282.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 278.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…7f28backed No | 73c | 271.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…d953backed Yes | 58c | 262.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 68c | 253.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 19c | 251.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…c3e5backed Yes | 41c | 249.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 244.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 21c | 243.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 36c | 231.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…5676backed Yes | 42c | 223.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked Yes | 5c | 218.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 199.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 67c | 195.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 34c | 194.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 185.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…4a4cbacked No | 66c | 184.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 178.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 35c | 166.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 158.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 30c | 157.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed No | 43c | 155.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 66c | 152.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 30c | 151.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 34c | 150.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 147.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 32c | 143.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 60c | 133.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 129.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 33c | 128.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 18c | 127.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Yes | 30c | 120.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 15c | 119.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…6c4ebacked Yes | 40c | 118.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 38c | 117.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 61c | 111.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…ba48backed Yes | 37c | 105.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 38c | 104.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 27c | 103.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 52c | 103.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes | 36c | 103.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 47c | 101.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 66c | 100.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…737abacked Yes | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 99.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 33c | 97.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 50c | 95.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 48c | 94.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 65c | 93.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…1b89backed Yes | 37c | 93.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 66c | 89.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 68c | 88.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 50c | 87.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 46c | 87.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 85.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 69c | 84.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 27c | 84.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 32c | 84.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 41c | 83.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…2766backed Yes | 41c | 83.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…d445backed Yes | 32c | 81.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 31c | 80.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 22c | 79.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 72c | 77.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.