TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc52f…0981

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
779
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT41468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 414 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$23.74
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$43.89
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$34.48
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$72.99
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$66.42
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$26.53
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$55.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$38.31
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$21.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.41
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$13.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$98.73
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39%+$46.86
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$74.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40%+$25.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$67.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.13
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$36.84
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Showing 25 of 414 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT14671.2%104 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$4.78
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$28.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$40.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$20.36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$15.68
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$7.93
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$9.96
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$27.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$8.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$7.55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$4.03
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13855.8%77 W · 61 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$756.17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$74.65
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.86
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.55
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$299.43
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$107.64
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$720.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$34.42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,233.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$168.1
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$381.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+281.8%+$1,695.23
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$57.28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$399.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.34
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$98.73
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.55
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,221.67
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+279.6%+$128.75
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$42.46
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$17.8
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$71.08
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$17.81
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$46.47
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$16.34
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.32
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.81
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+90%+$44.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+298.8%+$152.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$74.1
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.02
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.02
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.98
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.2%+$19.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+43%+$22.96
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$46
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$123.76
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.97
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40.26
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$93.58
Hobart International: Tatjana Maria vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+60.9%+$40.57
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$130.13
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+610%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+610%+$340.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$438
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$39.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$26.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$74.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.