Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51c7f022f9718231e0dd3b4633e5aca5cf9e1851a48edcb6d522b4dfabaefff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Rybakina, Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,087,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,318,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,087,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rybakina | 56c | 100,563$56,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,303.44 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Rybakina | 55c | 90,241$49,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,608.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Swiatek | 45c | 85,173$38,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,327.85 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Swiatek | 4c | 75,518$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.52 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rybakina | 56c | 55,336$30,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,348.01 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Swiatek | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Swiatek | 7c | 38,444$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.97 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Swiatek | 44c | 38,067$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,749.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Swiatek | 2c | 31,780$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.39 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Swiatek | 47c | 23,515$11,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,115.46 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Swiatek | 48c | 21,048$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Rybakina | 55c | 20,848$11,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Swiatek | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Rybakina | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Swiatek | 45c | 17,778$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Rybakina | 66c | 17,745$11,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Swiatek | 21c | 13,962$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Swiatek | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Swiatek | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Rybakina | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Swiatek | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Swiatek | 45c | 9,984$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.46 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Swiatek | 2c | 8,436$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Swiatek | 45c | 8,200$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Swiatek | 13c | 8,153$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Rybakina | 52c | 7,894$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rybakina | 55c | 7,306$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.36 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Swiatek | 10c | 6,393$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.79 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Swiatek | 40c | 6,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Swiatek | 26c | 5,579$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Swiatek | 3c | 5,451$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Swiatek | 44c | 5,322$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.88 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rybakina | 52c | 5,103$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.23 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Swiatek | 44c | 5,066$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.23 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Swiatek | 18c | 5,043$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.55 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Swiatek | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Rybakina | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Rybakina | 53c | 4,257$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.77 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Swiatek | 45c | 4,031$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.8 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Swiatek | 33c | 4,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Rybakina | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.94 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Rybakina | 56c | 3,747$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Swiatek | 47c | 3,500$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Swiatek | 17c | 3,301$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Rybakina | 55c | 3,290$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.31 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Swiatek | 45c | 3,190$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.68 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Swiatek | 45c | 3,073$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.91 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…cc7ebacked Rybakina | 56c | 3,010$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Rybakina | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Swiatek | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Swiatek | 44c | 2,778$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Rybakina | 55c | 2,762$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Rybakina | 51c | 2,729$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.26 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Swiatek | 9c | 2,700$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…45a6backed Swiatek | 19c | 2,536$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Rybakina | 55c | 2,533$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.31 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Swiatek | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Rybakina | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…6f3cbacked Swiatek | 45c | 2,424$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Swiatek | 47c | 2,347$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.99 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Swiatek | 45c | 2,282$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.99 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…2cabbacked Swiatek | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Swiatek | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Swiatek | 44c | 2,200$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Rybakina | 57c | 2,132$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.58 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rybakina | 54c | 2,113$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.86 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rybakina | 76c | 2,103$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Swiatek | 45c | 2,009$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.93 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Rybakina | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Swiatek | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Swiatek | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Swiatek | 48c | 1,938$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.93 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rybakina | 59c | 1,913$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.61 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Rybakina | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Swiatek | 25c | 1,611$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Swiatek | 30c | 1,550$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.04 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Swiatek | 45c | 1,480$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.65 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Swiatek | 45c | 1,336$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.32 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Swiatek | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Swiatek | 39c | 1,265$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Swiatek | 44c | 1,245$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.8 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Swiatek | 22c | 1,235$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rybakina | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.15 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Swiatek | 23c | 1,222$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Swiatek | 4c | 1,204$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Rybakina | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Swiatek | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Swiatek | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Swiatek | 36c | 1,090$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Swiatek | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Swiatek | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rybakina | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rybakina | 53c | 1,016$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Swiatek | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Swiatek | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Swiatek | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Swiatek | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Swiatek | 45c | 991.11$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Swiatek | 4c | 950$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Rybakina | 53c | 949.95$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs SwiatekRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Swiatek (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.