TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6b6…13ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+388.6%+$4,296.17
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120,954.11
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,650.19
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66,989.04
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,962.62
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,352.46
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,007.75
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67,389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$85,768.4
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$227,207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$246,141.35
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62,778.57
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,511.12
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,012.14
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,937Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23,776.57
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72,348.82
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,524Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,107.16
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27,213.49
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115,714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$125,358.35
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61,303.43
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55,180.25
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.2%+$4,455.89
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+64%+$28,338.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,712.16
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$216,340.33
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98,288.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36,213.59
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$3,791.84
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$275,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$275,053.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.27
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.85
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,487.61
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31,091.07
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86,855Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$58,144.15
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,926Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6,985.95
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,999.44
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,034.09
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,129.01
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20,630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+150%+$30,944.83
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,901.89
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+39.4%+$48.31
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44%+$6,113.69
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$70,200
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+101.4%+$121,642.34
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$6,305.95
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+39%+$14,898.8
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$25,239.13
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16,749.65
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$4,636.58
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+80.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,558.06
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$71,881.87
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,992.38
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,732Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$7,401.05
Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$3,450
Spread: VCU Rams (-6.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$946.89
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,755Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,994.78
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$231,639.61
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,554.89
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51,644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30,330.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,958.45
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$113,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113,760.16
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79,456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65,009.7
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,803.91
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42,966Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+55%+$23,644.92
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15,595Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$25,445.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$294,106.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,899Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+73%+$1,386.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,581.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54,019
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$117,523.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,170.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.