TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Hornets, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$569,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Hornets44c189,123$83,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,213.922650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Celtics51c119,935$61,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,780.220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce75…c5f6backed Celtics56c119,183$66,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,440.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Celtics56c70,620$39,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,072.64949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hornets49c68,123$33,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,380.2760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets50c49,799$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics50c38,143$19,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,979.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics51c37,388$19,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,195.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets49c27,089$13,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,273.771,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hornets48c25,456$12,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,219.1236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets49c24,610$11,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,993.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Celtics51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9210747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Celtics51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.924845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets49c8,222$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.781,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets50c8,010$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0051,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Hornets49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4302433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics50c6,444$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics52c6,032$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Celtics57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58012045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics51c6,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics51c5,861$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics52c5,654$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Celtics52c5,475$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics50c5,060$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.9272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets49c4,637$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hornets50c4,600$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Hornets43c4,564$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.624742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets47c4,475$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.2770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets47c3,830$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Hornets49c3,592$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.21,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Hornets49c3,368$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.3227455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Hornets46c3,065$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.4413946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…d437backed Hornets42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5270…4909backed Hornets42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hornets49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Celtics53c2,446$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.622356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets50c2,396$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1981,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hornets47c2,325$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets46c2,079$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Hornets45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets49c1,686$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.111,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Hornets46c1,659$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.1826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Hornets50c1,515$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5714152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics56c1,364$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hornets43c1,302$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.261,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Celtics53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.995635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Celtics51c1,116$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b51…e805backed Celtics58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33b…11babacked Celtics58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hornets49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b3…7ba4backed Celtics58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…90c8backed Celtics58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76a…fffabacked Celtics58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Celtics52c919.23$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2312240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf502…e37dbacked Celtics58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Hornets46c805.83$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics51c739.24$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.612,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hornets44c706.7$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.361,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics53c700.85$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Hornets49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34349345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Hornets43c679$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Hornets50c674.53$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33720963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Hornets50c667.6$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Hornets49c606.31$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Hornets50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Hornets49c579.05$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7322552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Hornets47c556.39$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.513642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Hornets50c538$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26928949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Hornets48c535.24$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.443246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics52c504.44$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Hornets50c496.25$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics52c494.27$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Celtics52c493$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6410256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Hornets50c431$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.520443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Hornets47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hornets46c422.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Hornets50c409.67$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7414452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb73…af96backed Hornets49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20076250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Hornets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Celtics52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Celtics50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1927841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics57c357.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d2…7838backed Celtics54c353.01$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7425…1169backed Celtics54c352.85$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Hornets49c351.84$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb081…08cebacked Celtics54c349.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd7…cd00backed Celtics54c349.85$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6e…479abacked Hornets47c349.06$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…db92backed Celtics54c348.81$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d3…3e6abacked Hornets47c347.95$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa064…02e1backed Hornets47c346.12$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics51c344.11$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.311,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76d…84b0backed Hornets47c342.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hornets47c342.49$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.971,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.