TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c128,432$68,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,397.1532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over47c117,020$54,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c8,669$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under54c6,498$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.061,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c6,341$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c5,139$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over47c4,992$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.3716039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c3,882$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.022,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c3,383$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c2,797$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c2,296$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.881,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under53c2,282$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.1612855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over46c2,169$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c2,153$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.184,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,700$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,657$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c1,482$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.8414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over37c1,165$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over47c1,088$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Over48c864.58$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Under52c852.52$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.213847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over47c846.81$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over48c833.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012543.2%54 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c770.37$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.642,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c656.36$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under55c637.98$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over47c552.25$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5829344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c537.45$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under65c429.79$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under52c411.75$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c407.44$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c385.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c310.04$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.41,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c298.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8521843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under37c272.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.396860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over45c226$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.71,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c219.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.292,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under51c211.9$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c188.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over47c181.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.521347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c152.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c149$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c129.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.562,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under48c127$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0434247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c126.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under54c125.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6412540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c123.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.771,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under22c120.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4719840.9%81 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4847738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Over46c93.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.861850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2926354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under54c77.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under31c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over44c74.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8516642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over47c68.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7729556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ad…bc2dbacked Over48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over71c67.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.922369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.641,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under61c61.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c61.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over32c55.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under45c50.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9813950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked Under55c50.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.973056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Over47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.295547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e97…d3b6backed Over47c44.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.146738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…b31bbacked Over48c42.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Over61c41.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Over48c38.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2811732.5%38 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c36.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over48c35.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over47c33.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0713541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under55c32.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c32.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.491,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under55c31.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3514054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over56c31.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3414860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over46c30.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.116551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over45c29.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c28.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under52c27.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over47c24.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.