TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Hornets57c20,859$11,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,889.5736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Celtics48c14,000$6,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,219.9612045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics46c8,918$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,846.461,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Hornets52c7,687$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.3311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics44c7,069$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e9…bcdebacked Celtics41c6,829$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets56c6,649$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics55c5,576$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Hornets55c5,415$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics43c4,587$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets54c3,166$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics42c2,863$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.421,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Celtics43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics44c2,208$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Hornets56c1,641$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9192948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Celtics43c1,516$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.0758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Celtics45c1,412$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.1717850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Celtics47c1,323$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.9816953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics43c1,239$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.231,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Celtics44c1,125$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63010651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics43c1,082$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets54c1,000$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2452844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets54c923.23$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Hornets52c867.18$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Hornets52c799.9$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets53c782.63$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.482,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hornets53c606.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.921,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Hornets52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Hornets35c576.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets57c560.13$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.961,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Celtics47c551.06$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0632450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics45c549.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics46c496.53$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets57c444.73$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.031,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Celtics46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Hornets56c402$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x624b…5066backed Hornets55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Celtics50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Hornets53c399.97$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.985853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38f…2589backed Hornets56c392$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets54c388$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.522,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics43c381.12$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.42,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hornets51c373.65$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x513d…c44cbacked Hornets55c363.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics42c361.38$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.62,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Celtics38c346.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets53c329.24$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Hornets32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Celtics50c279.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9919543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Hornets52c270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x203b…d116backed Hornets53c249.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.495964.4%38 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Celtics41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Celtics43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics40c230.18$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.011,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics47c228$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hornets57c227.39$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.611,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets59c205.12$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Celtics44c185.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Hornets57c184.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hornets55c183.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Hornets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Celtics43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…7882backed Celtics46c174$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Hornets58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669b…ee2fbacked Celtics47c171$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hornets58c170.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hornets58c170.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036d…2040backed Celtics47c167$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0479…80a2backed Celtics46c164$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Celtics43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7926755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1f…791dbacked Celtics47c154$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Celtics44c147.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.714347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Celtics46c143.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.881,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets54c143.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb507…df03backed Celtics46c138$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Celtics46c131$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7419348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Celtics60c128.55$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.481,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Celtics41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9513750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d6…fbedbacked Celtics41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.81764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Celtics45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Celtics44c99.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Celtics50c98.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.726860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.961,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Celtics51c98.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0336842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets52c93.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.513,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Hornets55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Hornets58c90.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.49154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Celtics47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.85547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Celtics43c89.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Celtics49c88.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2113052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hornets57c87.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Hornets58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8693…f6f4backed Celtics45c81.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…2b5ebacked Hornets55c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97e…f441backed Hornets54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Celtics43c74.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6224841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Hornets53c74.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8219849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Celtics47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…b546backed Hornets56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.