TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No67c577.4$387 inWon+$190.2690863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes5c570.59$26 inLost-$2631540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4c…8815backed Yes55c374.31$204 inLost-$204922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No44c346.14$151 inWon+$194.879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ec7bbacked Yes34c246.12$84 inLost-$83.681637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ae…4e6abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed No71c140.82$100 inWon+$40.8415357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No67c109.98$74 inWon+$36.2927074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No69c100$69 inWon+$3195260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No50c100$50 inWon+$5021672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No60c76.85$46 inWon+$30.4739265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c70.42$46 inWon+$23.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Yes50c64$32 inLost-$3222044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Yes40c50$20 inLost-$205639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Yes34c44.04$15 inLost-$14.855143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No68c40$27 inWon+$12.860267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Yes34c36.69$12 inLost-$12.374748.9%23 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked No66c30$20 inWon+$10.216551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Yes39c26.85$10 inLost-$10.47616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No67c26.33$18 inWon+$8.6646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.