TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over54c45,153$24,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,382.7420545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c12,961$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,969.091,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c8,612$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c8,477$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,489.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c8,392$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c7,820$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.553,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a2…a45dbacked Over50c7,657$3,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…867bbacked Under50c7,609$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c7,575$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.9657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abf…9c39backed Under50c7,389$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a1…aa53backed Over50c7,025$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…698ebacked Over50c6,975$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c6,199$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215.643,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…7efebacked Under50c6,047$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1366…a74ebacked Over50c5,922$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaad…255abacked Under50c5,835$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ea…2dd8backed Under47c5,749$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf6…f608backed Under50c5,624$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x473b…c26fbacked Under50c5,508$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d37…2f62backed Over50c5,455$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd72f…fa30backed Under50c5,366$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c5,334$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.071,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3484…ff6abacked Over50c5,241$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1c…97f7backed Under50c5,212$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under46c5,184$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.3631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1af4…8168backed Over51c4,999$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193f…a32ebacked Under49c4,751$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c4,642$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a32…e2b3backed Over50c4,599$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3c…1129backed Over50c4,506$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…80b7backed Under50c4,465$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0439…f7e7backed Over50c4,419$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968f…4da5backed Over50c4,340$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f07…05c5backed Over50c4,256$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c7…9ddbbacked Under50c4,215$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c4,128$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under50c4,128$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.799952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.635341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c4,026$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.551,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3521…46cebacked Under50c3,841$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under46c3,696$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.6538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a1…6f04backed Over50c3,530$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9001…42bcbacked Over50c3,509$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95e…a9f8backed Under50c3,215$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c2,991$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.4470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7973…3e1ebacked Under50c2,967$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d8…2475backed Under50c2,935$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over47c2,800$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.045547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e5…e03abacked Under50c2,770$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over52c2,720$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.0715952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e6…81e8backed Over51c2,605$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151c…5905backed Under50c2,589$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf0…4eb1backed Over50c2,581$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc340…3368backed Under50c2,556$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e6…af6bbacked Over51c2,539$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b1…4e7ebacked Over50c2,397$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Under50c2,271$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.532948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda2…6530backed Under49c2,246$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…ff31backed Under50c2,227$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,212$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.225,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a36…e504backed Over50c2,210$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59c2…7265backed Over50c2,186$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c2,162$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.7822948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482b…e709backed Over50c2,140$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f7…3181backed Under50c2,136$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf91…a34ebacked Over51c2,133$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5377…03b2backed Under49c2,126$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561c…3072backed Over50c2,123$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed6…ccb9backed Under49c2,095$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c2,051$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741b…d82cbacked Over50c2,032$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06095651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc781…2ccdbacked Over51c1,966$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6d…48bebacked Under49c1,964$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…7d57backed Over51c1,896$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f1…6db8backed Over50c1,793$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48f…2260backed Under50c1,770$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under42c1,742$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under30c1,734$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.5152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,717$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd894…83f4backed Under49c1,674$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d97…9ec3backed Under50c1,630$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over68c1,592$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.7836949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cea…cb88backed Under50c1,449$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c75…7329backed Under50c1,390$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe875…137dbacked Over50c1,368$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,347$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5895…dbb8backed Over50c1,328$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c1,315$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.3348054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cd…28cdbacked Over50c1,302$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c1,179$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.982,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c1…d83dbacked Under49c1,166$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over50c1,155$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32a7…c9d0backed Under50c1,149$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under49c1,128$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3410651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,027$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…df70backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c1…3af6backed Over50c999$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.