TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c107,098$52,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,709.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c57,292$29,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,219.1360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c35,411$18,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,059.4820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c29,468$15,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,323.351,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c16,140$7,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,178.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c10,832$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,631.9934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c9,949$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.983941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over51c8,978$4,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,552.1815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c8,482$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.671,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under48c8,154$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.1716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c8,154$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.177451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c7,495$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.571,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Over54c7,300$3,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9424443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c6,875$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5061,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Under52c6,538$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Over51c5,800$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9582433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c5,350$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over50c4,687$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.59159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c3,433$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over52c3,158$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.4622948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c2,844$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.4427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c2,231$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.2549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c2,222$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,069$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under49c1,981$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.4712950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c1,790$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.6270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,719$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.882,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,687$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.462,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,654$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c1,618$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under52c1,132$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,118$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.542,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under50c1,069$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.2811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over51c1,067$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2518648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c794.22$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over51c742.64$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c737.53$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c726$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.261,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c621.48$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9248054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Over51c572.92$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.193351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over51c572.92$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over51c571.3$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3630453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.481,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over51c542.16$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.57346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25056447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over51c486.98$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Under49c484.29$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over51c429.69$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c420.56$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.153,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c411.34$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c384.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.223,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c374.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over51c358$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5820443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over51c286.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1512650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over53c277.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0226043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over53c277.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c264.44$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under52c261.96$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.747143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over51c260.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over47c235.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.281,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over50c229.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4438853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c223.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c219.04$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c218.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over51c202$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0231354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over47c199.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over51c189.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Under50c185.13$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.066162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Over51c137.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.986259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over51c131.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Under49c122.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.241850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Over51c121.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7613554.8%74 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over56c120.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c112.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1222748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1297…015fbacked Over48c106.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Over51c102.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.417057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.