NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bc5da42b28150ec28c4a07b054625a2cc08e133e238caeeaff565a6b09611a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 41c | 596.17$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 31c | 556.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 75c | 494.74$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 429.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 59c | 248.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Under | 8c | 235.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 228.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 224.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 182.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 160.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 68c | 146.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 54c | 139.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 139.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 42c | 131.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 57.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 40c | 49.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…b8ffbacked Over | 68c | 48.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…150abacked Under | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +10.6wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 47c | 39.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 41c | 34.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…3fb1backed Under | 39c | 28.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 24.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 49c | 23.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 59c | 19.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5this page
- Celtics vs. HornetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grant Williams: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.