TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No52c491.15$256 inWon+$235.141,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No55c427.73$235 inWon+$192.481,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes48c330.36$159 inLost-$158.572050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed No64c310.33$200 inWon+$110.3315357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ba…8e5cbacked Yes45c289$130 inLost-$130616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost-$10013843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Yes34c202.84$69 inLost-$69.0222044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Yes41c159.59$65 inLost-$65.4347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No52c133.1$69 inWon+$64.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Yes45c88.89$40 inLost-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes47c74.47$35 inLost-$3513441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes45c63.02$28 inLost-$28.0844747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No56c60$34 inWon+$26.430256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No56c46.62$26 inWon+$20.5192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…1375backed Yes45c43.58$20 inLost-$19.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No55c25$14 inWon+$11.2512949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x202a…9cdfbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost-$101758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.