TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91ba…8e5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.57
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.35
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$172.76
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$85.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$56.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.88
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$119.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.22
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$58.67
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$65.69
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.93
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$386.65
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$395.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$223.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.