MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7241f157fba83732d4fca8611b62d896858395e0de36d3afcec11876698358de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 25,384$12,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,438.38 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 14,938$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 12,803$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 10,072$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.3 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 7,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 7,231$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.62 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 7,018$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 5,192$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.03 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 2,664$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,499$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.59 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,304$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.74 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,653$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,335$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,334$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.76 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,296$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,270$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.09 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,211$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.39 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 1,147$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,099$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 938.71$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 811$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 777$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 686.23$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 606.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 553$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.27 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 525.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 500$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 488.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 472.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.48 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 467.34$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 439$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 416.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kansas City Royals | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 387.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 357.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.39 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Minnesota Twins | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 312$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 309.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 302.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 299.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 278.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 276.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 271.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 251$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 241.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 214.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 205.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 205.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 204.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…09f8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…7393backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 194$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…92cebacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 194$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 192.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…639dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 188.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 175.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 173.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 173$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 151.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…6632backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 131.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 126.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…8e5cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 122.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 117$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 102.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 102.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 101.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 100.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 98.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 97.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 90.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 88.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.