MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8a3a15224871a65aa6094ed91f034ef5d498ef70f78dd0b34c0eb2c1d6a7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 113,083$58,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,772.13 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 55,555$26,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,888.6 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 20,840$8,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,144.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 10,501$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 65c | 7,270$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 5,204$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 51c | 2,885$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.45 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 2,758$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Under | 49c | 1,549$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.94 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 27c | 1,034$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.05 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 796.48$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.17 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 641.76$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 640$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 616.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 27c | 576$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 494.94$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 433.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 52c | 395.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 366$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 276.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 196.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 173.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 168.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 60c | 167.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…5e7cbacked Over | 61c | 163.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Under | 49c | 151.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Over | 68c | 122.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 120.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 66c | 111$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 96.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 53c | 79.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 74.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 51c | 66.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Over | 65c | 64.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 59.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 58.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 42c | 50.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Over | 43c | 46.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 35c | 42.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…468bbacked Over | 49c | 40.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 64c | 40.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 40c | 34.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…7350backed Under | 77c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 42c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 52c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Under | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 68c | 19.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 64c | 19.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.