TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d64…26ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.62
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.73
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$95.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$1,781.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.63
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+79%+$790.27
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$820.25
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$658.92
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.29
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$492.69
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$1,374.16
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$212.81
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$477.36
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.24
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$98.71
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-66.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.13
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$128.6
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.62
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,151.08
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$572.85
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.48
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$844
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$88.64
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cameron Smotherman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+155.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$55
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$785.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$84.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.