MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9eabdcfe707c081cce3546cd20884ecb10f8472b9d98c4cdebdc9c42de09a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 68,078$37,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,473.04 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 33,958$14,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,714.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 30,032$17,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,716.54 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 23,546$11,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,941.77 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Atlanta Braves | 0c | 18,341$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 12,191$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 12,147$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.01 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 11,778$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 11,698$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.36 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 10,622$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,266.75 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 9,578$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 9,530$5,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 8,576$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 8,541$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 7,316$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 7,300$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.49 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 7,247$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.27 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 7,126$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 5,566$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 5,340$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.93 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 5,028$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 4,758$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 4,266$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.68 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,936$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 3,907$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 3,691$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 3,350$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.38 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,210$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.08 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,083$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 3,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.23 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,666$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.97 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,409$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.26 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 2,264$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 2,208$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,139$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.76 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,019$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.8 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,968$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.79 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,965$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,950$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.49 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,919$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.43 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,892$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.65 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 1,818$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 1,814$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.49 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 1,797$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,728$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,706$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.14 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 1,691$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,675$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.8 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,657$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,647$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,646$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,546$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,505$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 1,472$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.53 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,434$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.44 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,417$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.2 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.66 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,384$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 1,362$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 1,325$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.25 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,204$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.87 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bb9bbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 1,157$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,117$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.84 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 1,112$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,106$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 1,019$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 922.3$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 901.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 884.09$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 870$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 851.45$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.58 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 836$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.69 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 834$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…0417backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 811.46$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 800$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Atlanta Braves | 3c | 797.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 742.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 727.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 710.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 689$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.51 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 674.44$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.83 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 660.67$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 657.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 592.02$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 556.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 538.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.28 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 3.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.