TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Nationalsof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves44c22,750$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals59c16,084$9,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,530.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals56c11,737$6,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,171.871,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves43c11,660$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves51c8,000$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.3460350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Washington Nationals57c6,500$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7952240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals58c5,438$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.1586548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals58c5,340$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.221,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals56c5,091$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.0911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Nationals57c4,822$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.5532251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves22c4,420$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Atlanta Braves44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7607647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals57c3,103$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.2992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals57c2,752$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.518,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves42c2,738$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Washington Nationals60c2,584$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.9432152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Atlanta Braves40c2,555$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals57c2,032$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.762,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves40c1,940$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.528,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves43c1,170$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.14837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Atlanta Braves44c1,081$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4428154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Washington Nationals57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Washington Nationals57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Washington Nationals61c959.32$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1311748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves43c781.63$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals57c747.62$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.93,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves42c596.45$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.512,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals63c521.9$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals50c466$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2339,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Atlanta Braves40c420$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.921,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals61c308.78$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.434,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves42c303.38$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Washington Nationals60c276.5$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.526747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Washington Nationals54c275$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.517652.8%93 W · 83 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.648354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f8…27f1backed Atlanta Braves43c225.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves43c217.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4619335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Atlanta Braves41c204$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.648245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Washington Nationals57c198.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2355052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Washington Nationals57c193$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.999553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves46c139.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4766448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves39c135$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd344…e41bbacked Atlanta Braves22c132.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.824456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed Atlanta Braves23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Nationals62c122$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Atlanta Braves42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Washington Nationals57c111.39$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.411,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca96…06f6backed Atlanta Braves44c109.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Washington Nationals57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3555643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Washington Nationals57c99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5741051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Washington Nationals57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1844348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Washington Nationals56c60.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.491,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Atlanta Braves29c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Atlanta Braves42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves42c57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.942,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.447589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals57c41.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals58c37.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.933,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Washington Nationals57c36.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.852,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Atlanta Braves45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522254.1%120 W · 102 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Nationals57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1641…a37fbacked Atlanta Braves43c28.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Atlanta Braves41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0750748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Washington Nationals57c23.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.015764.9%37 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals58c21.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.012,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Washington Nationals71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.843954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Nationals55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Washington Nationals55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0e…accebacked Washington Nationals63c17.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.465154.9%28 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.