TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0a2…3c41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Golf at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT15857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$26.01
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.7
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$119.76
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+553.6%+$110.72
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.78
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$70.98
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$93.54
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$115.07
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4463.6%28 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$83.14
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$56.25
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$102.9
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78.71
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$61.9
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.09
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.1
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.22
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$52.06
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.64
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.16
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$80.74
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$80.83
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.23
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.11
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.47
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.09
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.75
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.98
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.47
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.66
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-82.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63.37
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$73.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$181.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$63.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.7%+$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.