TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Over67c30,015$20,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,814.3924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c25,619$14,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,758.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c15,182$8,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,774.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under1c14,643$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under37c13,820$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.5317642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under57c13,588$7,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,743.1764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under50c11,121$5,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,525.744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under46c7,865$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.9837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under22c7,631$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.5411227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under48c7,316$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.9510732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under26c7,279$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.655137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over75c7,253$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.5441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over46c7,016$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under7c6,109$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under52c5,797$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.7115040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under16c5,752$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.9126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Over19c5,455$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418.549440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c5,169$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.743,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under49c4,687$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.6610851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under29c4,207$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.3166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over58c3,900$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under46c3,789$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.3644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c3,747$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.392,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c3,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under19c3,393$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.638819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over54c3,307$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.0773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under29c3,191$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under8c3,057$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under41c2,926$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.099740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over50c2,702$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.7728251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under35c2,674$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.2437242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c2,669$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under65c2,634$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Under57c2,519$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.521958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c2,346$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.243,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under44c2,292$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.0817442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over54c2,096$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.641,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c1,967$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under50c1,944$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2414544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under19c1,896$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under4c1,860$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.325125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under61c1,801$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.4619649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under26c1,800$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46811247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under7c1,635$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under38c1,545$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.6717534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over50c1,500$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.1345145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over57c1,410$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.261,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.557859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under4c1,357$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Under25c1,348$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.648212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under31c1,312$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9912528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under46c1,265$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.3430642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over60c1,237$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.2958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under29c1,220$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c1,217$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2446012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under51c1,141$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c1,112$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over49c1,101$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4110537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under12c1,100$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13610420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under55c1,062$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.5519738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under54c1,023$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.17240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3924341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under50c975.03$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.7623637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over55c946.01$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.6365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over51c913.73$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7327655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under26c876.92$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22828526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under25c866.34$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.591,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over63c836.67$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over49c813$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2222452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under2c805.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1214526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under25c784.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Under47c744.14$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7516046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over69c724.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6427931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over73c713.83$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.23,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over47c700$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under27c673$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7124247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over75c668$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16714568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under26c662.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.319218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under17c658$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.739631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1632733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over62c640.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3636539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2415455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under39c570.38$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.084944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over66c554.6$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.21,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over80c550$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.511170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe66b…30e7backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.717940.5%32 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.716636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under51c517.02$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0221143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd6…c2b8backed Under39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.