TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over66c8,511$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.612,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c5,970$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c3,661$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c3,428$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.621,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over66c1,349$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.384148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c1,237$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c1,161$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.742,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over42c1,059$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2516953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35020049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9947032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c670.55$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over42c488.1$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.115455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb682…5609backed Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.542231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under34c431.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.641,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under42c353.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under44c338$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5947029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over54c313.76$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7612235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12531156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9032044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under12c243.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2312954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x601d…e1cbbacked Over65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under34c229.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.713,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf310…9f74backed Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.278933.7%30 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.278421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under10c216.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5880225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11419823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over65c186.82$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8222343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.35745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Over58c159.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.113135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe551…f188backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under35c145.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under43c145.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over66c140.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.810844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over66c121.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under35c111.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.751,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5218548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under35c91.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over65c89.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.533847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under35c89.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.891,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7546247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3340435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120e…8907backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1310155.4%56 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.929455.3%52 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over60c76.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.572,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7617436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.768845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.925538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…4758backed Under35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Over66c67.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00da…a87ebacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.113058.5%76 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under38c55.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.442554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under34c55.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.766056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Over57c53.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0311549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over65c46.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.063,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.459456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Under35c44.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.566543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecf…86bcbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.678058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b0…d27cbacked Over65c41.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2426344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7afd…031ebacked Over51c39.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50df…597dbacked Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.467557.3%43 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de8…aac5backed Over66c37.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.822763%17 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147045.7%32 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over60c33.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under41c33.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.732,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under39c32.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6623866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under65c31.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.252626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7723142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.928251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x498b…656abacked Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811545.2%52 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b7…23f5backed Over64c29.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77ec…8b0dbacked Under68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over56c26.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.968843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over43c26.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bca…bbcdbacked Over66c25.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.762231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over65c24.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5496…4c18backed Over66c24.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.242352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54bb…5787backed Over56c23.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.418138.3%31 W · 50 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4220968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b55…c7b7backed Over66c22.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e75…a4dbbacked Under62c22.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over78c18.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1619944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44e…c6a0backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.636959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.