TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under62c82,602$51,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,388.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over38c72,150$27,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,416.9522139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over33c25,162$8,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,284.052,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c16,362$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c11,654$8,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c11,385$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,484.931,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c11,050$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over12c9,999$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under62c7,836$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.9440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c6,808$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.811,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c6,539$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over12c4,257$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4313727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under62c2,610$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.748856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over20c2,578$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.3133438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c2,292$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over5c2,286$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over11c2,195$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.411,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c2,009$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over38c1,754$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over8c1,750$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over12c1,666$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9722029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over6c1,590$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe26e…036bbacked Over39c1,552$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over40c1,550$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Over4c1,472$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.224535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over34c1,406$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.195435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over40c1,254$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over4c1,250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over3c1,243$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.551711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c1,237$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under62c1,202$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over4c1,073$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7111227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over5c1,048$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under61c991.95$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c981.44$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.583,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under67c898.66$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.665955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over40c887.5$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over7c887.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over9c840.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c799.65$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.273,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under61c655.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over40c634.55$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.631,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over39c628.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24521443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under62c565.87$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over39c550$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over7c529.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c512$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under67c510.04$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0427454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a52…1a8ebacked Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1955038%19 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over39c456.5$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.477335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under61c450$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.527939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Over38c444$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.722343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over25c441.59$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.817442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over26c422$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7263745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over21c420$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.723820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over7c413$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under60c403.29$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.326533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c386.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.11,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over18c384.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.942,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over38c384.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1468725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c371.26$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.022,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…c902backed Over39c356.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1397226.4%19 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under61c347.56$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over39c334.72$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over5c319.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over15c318.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.741,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over20c309$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over25c307.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9821143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633b…d136backed Over39c304.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.14641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over39c302.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.417222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6216147.2%76 W · 85 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under64c297$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3228164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over38c274.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.396633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5724…b563backed Under74c269.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.964452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+61.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Over37c264.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6838…6911backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over11c262$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over38c260$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.822730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over41c245.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Over40c238.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5116032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over38c233.38$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.281,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.