Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f61a35d2f2fca7be1bfbb89d6759abb1466f256df9ac4a7247c3532d7b5fb27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 62c | 82,602$51,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,388.66 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 38c | 72,150$27,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,416.95 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Over | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 33c | 25,162$8,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,284.05 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 16,362$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.96 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 11,654$8,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 61c | 11,385$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.93 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 9c | 11,050$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 12c | 9,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.91 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 62c | 7,836$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.94 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 6,808$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.81 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 6,539$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Over | 12c | 4,257$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.43 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Under | 62c | 2,610$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.74 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 20c | 2,578$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.31 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 20c | 2,292$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 2,286$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 11c | 2,195$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 2,009$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 38c | 1,754$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.89 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 8c | 1,750$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Over | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 6c | 1,590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked Over | 39c | 1,552$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 40c | 1,550$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Over | 4c | 1,472$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…9499backed Over | 34c | 1,406$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.19 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 40c | 1,254$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 4c | 1,250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 3c | 1,243$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 1,237$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.87 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 62c | 1,202$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed Over | 4c | 1,073$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over | 5c | 1,048$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 61c | 991.95$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 981.44$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 67c | 898.66$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.66 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 40c | 887.5$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 7c | 887.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 9c | 840.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 799.65$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 61c | 655.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.73 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 40c | 634.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.63 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Over | 39c | 628.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 62c | 565.87$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 7c | 529.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 62c | 512$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Under | 67c | 510.04$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Over | 39c | 456.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Under | 61c | 450$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Over | 38c | 444$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 25c | 441.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 26c | 422$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 21c | 420$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 7c | 413$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 60c | 403.29$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 386.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 384.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 38c | 384.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 371.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…c902backed Over | 39c | 356.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 61c | 347.56$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 39c | 334.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 5c | 319.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 15c | 318.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 20c | 309$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 25c | 307.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…d136backed Over | 39c | 304.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…927fbacked Over | 39c | 302.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…c754backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 64c | 297$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 38c | 274.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…b563backed Under | 74c | 269.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 37c | 264.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…6911backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 11c | 262$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 41c | 245.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Over | 40c | 238.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 38c | 233.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.