TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,576 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39f6…abe1backed Over21c12,145$2,600 inLost-$2,599.986147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under79c4,893$3,879 inWon+$1,014.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over17c2,796$485 inLost-$484.722,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over8c1,552$119 inLost-$118.652,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under53c1,399$748 inWon+$650.892,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over18c1,100$197 inLost-$197.326434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over9c999.14$90 inLost-$89.922,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over5c985.6$49 inLost-$49.2821251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over18c619$111 inLost-$111.427350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c615.09$104 inLost-$104.298,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost-$1005315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Over7c499.99$35 inLost-$358140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc707…fa9cbacked Over7c399.38$30 inLost-$29.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over8c312.5$25 inLost-$255538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d7…22a5backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost-$507929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost-$5034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over18c280$50 inLost-$50.412435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Over9c266.67$24 inLost-$244327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Over12c250$30 inLost-$29.654833.3%16 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f2…f86fbacked Over18c216.67$39 inLost-$395137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Over18c200$36 inLost-$368213.4%11 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over17c195.76$33 inLost-$33.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over17c171.99$30 inLost-$29.663,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over18c169.93$30 inLost-$3025754.5%140 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over15c164.58$25 inLost-$251,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over17c147.06$25 inLost-$256533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over12c135.55$16 inLost-$15.6673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6c…f76bbacked Over18c132$24 inLost-$23.761233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over16c125$20 inLost-$2024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e5…dd13backed Over17c125$21 inLost-$21.25316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over16c121$20 inLost-$19.6187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae1…dde8backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost-$20170%0 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over17c99.99$17 inLost-$175549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over17c88.24$15 inLost-$1515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over18c71.78$13 inLost-$12.924740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under72c28$20 inWon+$7.8432959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.