TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76f2…f86f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.3
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,190.3%+$238.06
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$61.63
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+353.8%+$106.14
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+206.3%+$82.53
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$598.38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$104.9
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$143.01
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$803.15
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.43
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.